Model: TIPPSH

Haugesund vs Moss

PREDICTION

@ 1.78

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 25, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 46d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Haugesund. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Haugesund

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.74First seen

Current1.78Now

Max odds1.81Highest point

Min odds1.72Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HaugesundHOME

MossAWAY

WWDLW

Recent form

LDWLL

Avg goals scored

2.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.60

Shots on target for

6.40

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

6.80

Home splitW-D-W-W2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-W1.60 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.78

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Haugesund has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 27.6% 7D: 20.6% 15D: 15.1% 30D: 5.4%

Model insight

Haugesund – Moss Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample220

Win Rate43.6%

Profit-39.71u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1.97	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk	1.96	1.31%
WIN	EC Juventude - Vila Nova	1.84	1.04%
LOSS	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%
WIN	Excursionistas U20 - Lujan U20	1.89	1.04%
LOSS	Liaoning Tieren U20 - Qingdao Hainiu U20	1.93	1.04%
WIN	Maringa FC - Volta Redonda	1.86	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

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Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC	1	1.93	1.04%	11 Jul 12:30
Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn	1	1.95	1.04%	11 Jul 20:00
Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II	1	1.89	1.31%	12 Jul 01:00
GAIS - Elfsborg	1	1.95	1.04%	12 Jul 16:30

Pick

1 @ 1.78

Kickoff

Mag 25, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Started 46d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 14h ago