Jwaya FC – Al Nejmeh

Model: TIPPSH

Jwaya FC vs Al Nejmeh

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.66
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 47d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Jwaya FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Jwaya FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current2.66Now
Max odds3.05Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Jwaya FCHOME
VS
Al NejmehAWAY
W
Recent form
LWD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.33
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.33
Shots on target for
3.00
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
1.00
Home splitW2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.66. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon League (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.66
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Jwaya FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -27.2% 7D: -4.3% 15D: -7.3% 30D: 10.2%
Model insight

Jwaya FC – Al Nejmeh Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample81
Win Rate37.0%
Profit-4.55u
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LOSSBohemians 1905 - Hradec Kralove2.451.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.66
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 47d ago
Updated
Updated 47d 2h ago
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