Model: TIPPSH

Granada vs Almeria

PREDICTION

@ 2.69

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 29, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 2h 16m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Granada. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GranadaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: 0.004

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GranadaHOME

AlmeriaAWAY

WWWDL

Recent form

LWLDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.20

Shots on target for

4.60

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.60

Home splitW-W-W-D-L1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-D-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.69. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.69

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Granada is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -26.5% 7D: -14.3% 15D: 7.3% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

Granada – Almeria Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample57

Win Rate33.3%

Profit-7.91u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya	2.74	1.59%
LOSS	SR Reykjavik - Skallagrimur Borgarnes	2.72	1.59%
LOSS	Fyllingsdalen - Åsane Fotball 2	2.48	1.59%
LOSS	Houston Dynamo II - Austin FC II	2.47	1.59%
LOSS	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapo	2.47	1.59%
LOSS	Eastern Lions - Box Hill United	2.48	1.59%
LOSS	FC Strani - FC Vsetin	2.67	1.59%
LOSS	Hills United FC (W) - Manly Utd (W)	2.69	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.69

Kickoff

Lug 29, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 2h 16m ago

Updated

Updated 8h 48m ago