Model: TIPPSH

Las Vegas Lights FC vs Oakland Roots

PREDICTION

@ 2.46

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 06, 2026 6:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 10h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Las Vegas Lights FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Las Vegas Lights FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.006 | A: -0.179

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.21First seen

Current2.46Now

Max odds2.46Highest point

Min odds2.21Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Las Vegas Lights FCHOME

Oakland RootsAWAY

DWWWL

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.20

Shots on target for

3.60

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

4.00

Home splitD-L-L-L-D0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-L1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.46. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.46

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Las Vegas Lights FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 47.6% 7D: 12.4% 15D: 11.1% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Las Vegas Lights FC – Oakland Roots Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample172

Win Rate44.2%

Profit+8.81u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
WIN	Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves	2.41	1.59%
WIN	Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W)	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Man Utd - Atletico Madrid	2.60	1.59%
WIN	Brommapojkarna (W) - Djurgardens (W)	2.27	1.59%
LOSS	FC Talant - FC Dordoi Bishkek	2.58	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.46

Kickoff

Ago 06, 2026 6:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 3d 10h

Updated

Updated 8m ago