Model: TIPPSH
Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.19
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d 16h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Mjällby AIF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Mjällby AIFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.012 | A: -0.046Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
32/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.21First seen
Current2.19Now
Max odds2.21Highest point
Min odds2.19Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Mjällby AIFHOME
VS
ElfsborgAWAY
DLWDL
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
4.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.00
Home splitW-D-L-D-L1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.19. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.19
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 40.7%
7D: 15.7%
15D: 5.5%
30D: 11.4%
Model insight
Mjällby AIF – Elfsborg Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample380
Win Rate47.1%
Profit+1.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 2.16 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Aragua - Bolivar SC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Lens - Villarreal | 2.04 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 14:30 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 17:30 |
| Llaneros - Fortaleza CEIF | 1 | 2.11 | 1.31% | 04 Aug 23:10 |
| FC Cincinnati - Pachuca | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 05 Aug 01:45 |
Pick
1 @ 2.19
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 4d 16h
Updated
Updated 15m ago