Model: TIPPSH
Parnu JK Vaprus II – JK Tammeka Tartu II
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.87
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN7 - 2
StartStarted 23d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Parnu JK Vaprus II | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-D-W | L-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W (home) | L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.67 scored / 1.33 conceded | 1.67 scored / 4.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.40 for / 4.60 against | 6.00 for / 9.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 11.00 for / 4.67 against (home) | 7.00 for / 11.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Parnu JK Vaprus II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current2.02Now
Max odds2.02Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Parnu JK Vaprus II – JK Tammeka Tartu II Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample267
Win Rate52.4%
Profit+1.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.87
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 23d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 16h ago