Model: TIPPSA
Parramatta Eagles – Fraser Park
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 17d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Parramatta Eagles | Fraser Park |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-W-W | D-W-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-L (home) | D-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 3.00 against | 9.50 for / 2.25 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.75 for / 4.25 against (home) | 4.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Fraser Park shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Fraser Park's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.83Now
Max odds2.87Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Parramatta Eagles – Fraser Park Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample79
Win Rate38.0%
Profit-0.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
| LOSS | Motor Lublin - Cracovia Krakow | 2.53 | 3.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 17d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 16h ago