Model: TipTromba2H

Pelikan Lowicz vs Sokol Aleksandrow

PREDICTION

@ 1.62

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 20, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 62d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 62d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pelikan Lowicz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pelikan LowiczGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

8/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.62First seen

Current1.64Now

Max odds1.66Highest point

Min odds1.62Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pelikan LowiczHOME

Sokol AleksandrowAWAY

Recent form

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

7.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

7.00

Home splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.62

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Pelikan Lowicz's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 13.9% 7D: 15.1% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 0.6%

Model insight

Pelikan Lowicz – Sokol Aleksandrow Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.62. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample395

Win Rate64.1%

Profit+11.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II	1.53	-1.89%
LOSS	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev	1.73	-3.82%
LOSS	Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20	1.62	-3.82%
LOSS	GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica	1.73	-1.89%
WIN	NEC - Al Fayha	1.67	-3.82%
LOSS	Club Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	1.62	-3.38%
LOSS	Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20	1.50	-3.38%
WIN	Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W)	1.70	-1.89%

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SKN St Polten (W) - Slovacko (W)	1	1.50	-1.89%	22 Jul 16:00
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Pick

1 @ 1.62

Kickoff

Mag 20, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Started 62d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 62d 11h ago