University Azzurri FC – Port Darwin FC

Model: TIPPSH

University Azzurri FC vs Port Darwin FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN6 - 1
StartStarted 62d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 62d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is University Azzurri FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: University Azzurri FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.38First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.63Highest point
Min odds1.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

University Azzurri FCHOME
VS
Port Darwin FCAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
4.20
3.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.60
Shots on target for
7.40
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
4.40
Home splitW-W-W5.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W3.75 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Cup Qualifying (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors University Azzurri FC, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to University Azzurri FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 48.6% 7D: 21.3% 15D: 11.2% 30D: 4.0%
Model insight

University Azzurri FC – Port Darwin FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample224
Win Rate58.0%
Profit-5.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSStranraer - FC Edinburgh1.63-9.21%
LOSSTamworth - Aston Villa U211.68-9.21%
WINHanworth Villa - Kingstonian1.67-4.66%
WINEast Fife - Linlithgow Rose1.68-9.21%
LOSSABB U19 - The Strongest U191.63-9.21%
WINSuduva Marijampole - Hegelmann Litauen1.71-9.21%
LOSSJapan Soccer College - Artista Asama1.71-6.04%
LOSSAvondale U23 - St Albans Saints U231.68-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 62d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 62d 14h ago
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