Model: TIPPSH

Salisbury FC vs Hemel Hempstead

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 9h 37m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Salisbury FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Salisbury FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.143 | A: 0.008

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.77First seen

Current2.55Now

Max odds2.77Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Salisbury FCHOME

Hemel HempsteadAWAY

LDWWL

Recent form

WLWDD

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.80

Shots on target for

5.00

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

3.40

Home splitL-W-W-L-W3.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.55

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Salisbury FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 36.1% 7D: 2.0% 15D: 3.6% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

Salisbury FC – Hemel Hempstead Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample218

Win Rate38.5%

Profit-11.81u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Roosendaal - FC Lisse	2.65	1.59%
LOSS	Needham Market - Halesowen	2.37	1.59%
WIN	Madla - Vidar	2.47	1.41%
LOSS	Bulls FC Academy - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	Al Khaleej Saihat - Al Shabab Riyadh	2.65	1.59%
LOSS	Sparta Rotterdam - FC Utrecht	2.65	1.59%
WIN	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	2.50	1.59%
WIN	INAC Leonessa (W) - Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2.48	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 9h 37m ago

Updated

Updated 12h 9m ago