Model: TIPPSH

Spartak Moscow vs Krasnodar

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 9h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Spartak Moscow. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Spartak MoscowGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: 0.049

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.14First seen

Current2.11Now

Max odds2.14Highest point

Min odds2.11Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Spartak MoscowHOME

KrasnodarAWAY

WWWDD

Recent form

DWWDW

Avg goals scored

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.00

Shots on target for

7.00

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

2.20

Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Premier League (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.11

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Spartak Moscow's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 8.5% 7D: 29.6% 15D: 7.1% 30D: 12.0%

Model insight

Spartak Moscow – Krasnodar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample453

Win Rate47.0%

Profit-11.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19	2.01	1.04%
WIN	Monaco - Getafe	1.96	1.04%
WIN	Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd	1.92	1.31%
LOSS	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	2.21	1.04%
LOSS	Queanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U23	1.88	1.31%
WIN	Nublense - Rangers de Talca	2.09	1.04%
WIN	Keflavik - KA Akureyri	1.98	1.04%
WIN	SalPa - JJK	1.88	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 2d 9h

Updated

Updated 11m ago