Model: TIPPSH

St Gallen vs FC Sion

PREDICTION

@ 2.13

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 12, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 11h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Gallen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St GallenGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: -0.009

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.12First seen

Current2.13Now

Max odds2.14Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St GallenHOME

FC SionAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

WWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

2.80

Shots on target for

6.80

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

5.00

Home splitL-L-W-D-W2.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-D-L3.00 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.13

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to St Gallen's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -0.2% 7D: 7.1% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 5.7%

Model insight

St Gallen – FC Sion Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample942

Win Rate46.5%

Profit-29.39u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Quilmes Reserves - CA Ituzaingo Reserves	2.11	1.04%
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LOSS	Parnu JK Vaprus II - Johvi FC Phoenix	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	FC Zurich (W) - Young Boys (W)	1.88	1.31%
WIN	Norwich - Birmingham	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Nykobing - Middelfart	1.98	1.04%
LOSS	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	2.15	1.31%
WIN	Tre Penne - Juvenes/Dogana	1.97	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.13

Kickoff

Set 12, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d 11h

Updated

Updated 11m ago