Model: TIPPSH
Bragantino – Mirassol
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.89
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 34d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Bragantino | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-L-L | D-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W-W (home) | D-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.75 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.60 for / 5.00 against | 4.00 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.25 for / 3.50 against (home) | 3.75 for / 6.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bragantino's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.03First seen
Current1.89Now
Max odds2.07Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Bragantino – Mirassol Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample279
Win Rate51.3%
Profit-4.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.89
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 34d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 6h ago