Bragantino vs Mirassol
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bragantino. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BragantinoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa do Brasil (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bragantino's attacking profile.
Bragantino – Mirassol Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Gimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W) | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Wexford FC - Kerry FC | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W) | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cuiaba - America MG | 2.13 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Hamrun Spartans - NSI Runavik | 1 | 1.78 | 3.37% | 16 Jul 19:30 |
| Gold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves | 1 | 1.79 | 3.37% | 18 Jul 08:00 |
| Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven | 1 | 1.76 | 3.37% | 19 Jul 01:00 |