Model: TIPPSH

St Gallen vs FC Thun

PREDICTION

@ 1.85

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 55d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Gallen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St Gallen

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current1.88Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St GallenHOME

FC ThunAWAY

DWWLW

Recent form

DLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

3.00

Shots on target for

6.20

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

7.80

Home splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=212 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.85

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives St Gallen a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. St Gallen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 27.2% 7D: 21.1% 15D: -2.1% 30D: 0.2%

Model insight

St Gallen – FC Thun Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample277

Win Rate52.7%

Profit+2.90u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%
WIN	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	1.78	3.37%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
LOSS	Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United	1.88	3.37%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%
LOSS	Paysandu - Santa Cruz FC	1.81	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.85

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.31% • n=212

Start

Started 55d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 56d ago