Model: TIPPSH

Avai vs Criciuma

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 42d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Avai. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Avai

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AvaiHOME

CriciumaAWAY

LWLDL

Recent form

WDDDD

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

3.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.60

Home splitL-W-L-D-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-D-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.35

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 8.2% 7D: 31.8% 15D: 25.8% 30D: 6.9%

Model insight

Avai – Criciuma Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample163

Win Rate45.4%

Profit+3.99u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Fremantle City FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W)	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W)	2.20	1.04%
WIN	Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes	2.10	1.04%
WIN	Nublense - O'Higgins	2.39	1.41%
LOSS	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC	2.10	1.04%
WIN	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2.51	1.59%
LOSS	Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008	2.19	1.31%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC	1	2.28	1.59%	12 Jul 16:00
Figueirense - Volta Redonda	1	2.17	1.04%	14 Jul 01:30

Pick

1 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 42d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 7h ago