Athletico Paranaense – Mirassol

Model: TIPPSH

Athletico Paranaense vs Mirassol

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 48d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Athletico Paranaense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Athletico Paranaense

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current1.99Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Athletico ParanaenseHOME
VS
MirassolAWAY
WWDDL
Recent form
LLWWL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.20
Shots on target for
4.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
3.20
Home splitW-D-D-W-D1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.99
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Athletico Paranaense. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Athletico Paranaense has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.6% 7D: 11.5% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 9.1%
Model insight

Athletico Paranaense – Mirassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample364
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-23.09u
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LOSSCaen - Paris 13 Atletico1.981.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.99
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 48d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 13h ago
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