Albacete B – CD Manchego CR

Model: TIPPSH

Albacete B vs CD Manchego CR

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 06, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 45d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Albacete B. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Albacete BGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.78First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Albacete BHOME
VS
CD Manchego CRAWAY
WLWDW
Recent form
LWWDD
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.60
Shots on target for
5.25
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
3.80
Home splitW-D-D-D1.25 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-D-L0.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.17
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Albacete B a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Albacete B is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -6.5% 7D: -9.6% 15D: 14.2% 30D: 14.2%
Model insight

Albacete B – CD Manchego CR Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample306
Win Rate46.4%
Profit-4.30u
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WINSao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U202.241.04%
WINSouth East United FC - Launceston United1.951.04%
WINSt Pauli - HNK Gorica2.011.04%
LOSSChangchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women2.131.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Giu 06, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 45d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 23h ago
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