Patronato Parana vs Atletico Rafaela
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Patronato Parana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Patronato ParanaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.12. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Patronato Parana – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2 | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 2.16 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Aragua - Bolivar SC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sunderland - Wrexham | 1.92 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 14:30 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 17:30 |
| Llaneros - Fortaleza CEIF | 1 | 2.11 | 1.31% | 04 Aug 23:10 |
| FC Cincinnati - Pachuca | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 05 Aug 01:45 |
| Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 | 1.94 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 01:00 |