Model: TIPPSH

Auckland City vs East Coast Bays

PREDICTION

@ 1.65

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 13, 2026 6:00 AM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 47d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Auckland City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Auckland CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.75First seen

Current1.58Now

Max odds1.75Highest point

Min odds1.54Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Auckland CityHOME

East Coast BaysAWAY

WDDWW

Recent form

LDDLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.00

Shots on target for

5.20

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.60

Home splitW-D-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Cup (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.65

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Auckland City, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Auckland City's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -19.8% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -8.8% 30D: 10.7%

Model insight

Auckland City – East Coast Bays Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample260

Win Rate57.3%

Profit-9.67u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	UMF Selfoss - Dalvik/Reynir	1.67	-4.66%
WIN	Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves - Villa Dalmine Reserves	1.68	-6.04%
WIN	Chungnam Asan FC - Siheung City AC	1.72	-6.04%
LOSS	Crusaders - Newington FC	1.65	-9.21%
WIN	Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum Zarafshon	1.65	-9.21%
LOSS	Club Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves	1.72	-10.11%
LOSS	Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20	1.63	-9.21%
LOSS	KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri	1.75	-7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.65

Kickoff

Giu 13, 2026 6:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 47d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 10h ago