Flamengo FBC (W) – FC Killas (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Flamengo FBC (W) vs FC Killas (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 45d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Flamengo FBC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Flamengo FBC (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.79Now
Max odds1.79Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Flamengo FBC (W)HOME
VS
FC Killas (W)AWAY
WDDWL
Recent form
LLWLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.40
Shots on target for
6.80
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
9.40
Home splitW-D-W-L2.25 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitL-W-L3.00 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Campeonato Nacional Women (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.79
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Flamengo FBC (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -19.8% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -8.8% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Flamengo FBC (W) – FC Killas (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample307
Win Rate46.9%
Profit-35.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTamworth - Macclesfield1.861.31%
WINTonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough1.761.31%
WINFortaleza - Botafogo SP1.841.31%
WINUNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC1.851.04%
LOSSNeftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan1.781.31%
LOSSPolice AC - Aryan FC1.901.04%
LOSSCruzeiro - Botafogo1.801.04%
WINFuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves2.011.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 45d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 2h ago
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