Model: TIPPSH
Bonsucesso FC vs Cabofriense
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 17, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 47d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 3h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bonsucesso FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Bonsucesso FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.29Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Bonsucesso FCHOME
VS
CabofrienseAWAY
WLDWL
Recent form
LLLWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
4.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
3.80
Home splitW-L-W-L-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Rio (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.99
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -6.2%
7D: -13.9%
15D: -5.2%
30D: 8.7%
Model insight
Bonsucesso FC – Cabofriense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample512
Win Rate47.9%
Profit-30.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2 | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 2.16 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | South Melbourne U23 - St Albans Saints U23 | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Rapid Vienna - SCR Altach | 1.78 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapo | 1 | 1.76 | 1.31% | 04 Aug 02:00 |
| Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 14:30 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 17:30 |
| Llaneros - Fortaleza CEIF | 1 | 2.11 | 1.31% | 04 Aug 23:10 |
| FC Cincinnati - Pachuca | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 05 Aug 01:45 |
Pick
1 @ 1.99
Kickoff
Giu 17, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 47d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 3h ago