Model: TIPPSH

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 23, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 50d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 50d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dinamo Tbilisi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dinamo TbilisiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.61First seen

Current2.33Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds1.61Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dinamo TbilisiHOME

Dinamo BatumiAWAY

WWLWL

Recent form

LWWLW

Avg goals scored

2.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

6.80

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

3.20

Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-D-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Erovnuli Liga (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.25

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dinamo Tbilisi's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -30.0% 7D: 4.7% 15D: 2.8% 30D: 2.3%

Model insight

Dinamo Tbilisi – Dinamo Batumi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample421

Win Rate46.8%

Profit+7.29u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Real Jaen - Cacereno	2.25	1.41%
WIN	Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20	2.37	1.59%
WIN	New York City FC II - Orlando City II	2.14	1.04%
LOSS	Berwick Rangers - Hearts B	2.04	1.31%
LOSS	Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro	2.00	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Giu 23, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Started 50d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 50d 20h ago