Egypt – Iran

Model: TIPPSH

Egypt vs Iran

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 55d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Egypt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EgyptGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.56First seen
Current2.79Now
Max odds7.17Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EgyptHOME
VS
IranAWAY
DWDLW
Recent form
DDDWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.80
Shots on target for
3.80
3.67
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
6.00
Home splitD-W1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitD-D0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.79. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Cup 2026. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.79
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -17.0% 7D: -4.4% 15D: -0.8% 30D: -2.8%
Model insight

Egypt – Iran Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample91
Win Rate44.0%
Profit+19.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCA Atlas Reserves - JJ Urquiza Reserves2.844.53%
LOSSInchicore Athletic FC - Wayside Celtic2.642.49%
WINColorado Rapids - Los Angeles FC2.742.49%
LOSSMuglaspor - Bandirmaspor2.754.53%
LOSSNEC - Bodo/Glimt2.572.49%
LOSSLillestrøm 2 - Harstad2.632.49%
WINBSK Banja Luka - Velez Mostar2.904.53%
LOSSADO Den Haag - FC Groningen2.824.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Belshina Bobruisk - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk12.834.53%22 Aug 13:00
Sutton Utd - Hartlepool12.632.49%22 Aug 13:30
Tonbridge Angels - Truro City12.884.53%22 Aug 16:00
Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva12.764.53%22 Aug 19:00
Troyes - Paris FC12.884.53%22 Aug 20:45
Akron Tolyatti - Krylia Sovetov12.904.53%23 Aug 12:00
Chungbuk Cheongju - Gyeongnam FC12.603.15%23 Aug 12:30
New England Revolution - New York City FC12.632.49%23 Aug 22:30
Pick
1 @ 2.79
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 55d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 6h ago
Torna in alto