Paysandu vs Santa Cruz FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Paysandu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PaysanduValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Paysandu is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Paysandu – Santa Cruz FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Rosengård (W) - Djurgardens (W) | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Athlone Town - Finn Harps | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | FC Lahti - TPS | 1.86 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | JK Tammeka Tartu II - Tabasalu FC Charma | 1.83 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1.97 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Changwon City - Yeoju | 1 | 1.86 | 3.37% | 27 Jun 09:00 |
| Landskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo | 1 | 2.02 | 3.37% | 28 Jun 15:00 |