Model: TIPPSH

Flamengo SP U20 vs XV de Jau U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 03, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 22h 30m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Flamengo SP U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Flamengo SP U20

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.80First seen

Current2.18Now

Max odds2.80Highest point

Min odds2.18Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Flamengo SP U20HOME

XV de Jau U20AWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

WLDWL

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

4.00

2.25

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.50

Home splitL-L-W0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.06

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Flamengo SP U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 67.2% 7D: 82.4% 15D: 31.5% 30D: 11.9%

Model insight

Flamengo SP U20 – XV de Jau U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample293

Win Rate46.8%

Profit-15.16u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%
WIN	Excursionistas U20 - Lujan U20	1.89	1.04%
LOSS	Liaoning Tieren U20 - Qingdao Hainiu U20	1.93	1.04%
LOSS	PIF Parainen - EuPa	1.90	1.04%
WIN	CA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves	2.26	1.59%
WIN	CD Moron Reserves - Acassuso Reserves	2.12	1.04%
WIN	Manly Utd - SD Raiders	2.02	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Lug 03, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 22h 30m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 4h ago