Model: TIPPSH
Provincial Osorno vs General Velásquez
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.65
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 05, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 47d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 15h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Provincial Osorno. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Provincial OsornoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
2/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.62Now
Max odds1.66Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Provincial OsornoHOME
VS
General VelásquezAWAY
WDDDD
Recent form
LWWDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.20
1.00
Shots on target for
4.40
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.40
Home splitW-D-D-W-D1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Segunda (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.65
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 27.3%
7D: 52.5%
15D: 25.0%
30D: 11.2%
Model insight
Provincial Osorno – General Velásquez Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample390
Win Rate61.5%
Profit+12.91u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Mohun Bagan SG - Northeast United | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Real Oviedo B - Caudal | 1.72 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Club Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | UMF Selfoss - Kari | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Nairn County - Lossiemouth | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | CD Marathon - Alianza FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | New York City FC II - FC Cincinnati II | 1.75 | -4.66% |
Active Similar Predictions
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| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
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| Vejle - Esbjerg | 1 | 1.66 | -4.66% | 21 Aug 18:00 |
| FC Fredericia - Aarhus Fremad | 1 | 1.63 | -9.89% | 21 Aug 19:00 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana - NK Nafta 1903 | 1 | 1.64 | -9.21% | 21 Aug 20:15 |
Pick
1 @ 1.65
Kickoff
Lug 05, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 47d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 15h ago