Model: TIPPSH

Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic

PREDICTION

@ 1.88

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 19, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Charleston Battery. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Charleston Battery

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.89First seen

Current1.88Now

Max odds1.89Highest point

Min odds1.88Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Charleston BatteryHOME

Sacramento RepublicAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

LWLWD

Avg goals scored

3.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

6.80

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

2.00

Home splitD-W-W-D-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-W0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.88

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Charleston Battery a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Charleston Battery has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -76.9% 7D: 3.9% 15D: 20.7% 30D: 14.6%

Model insight

Charleston Battery – Sacramento Republic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample296

Win Rate47.0%

Profit-26.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	1.92	1.31%
WIN	AB Copenhagen - Helsingborg	1.95	1.04%
WIN	La Luz - Tacuarembo	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Botafogo PB - AD Confianca	2.02	1.31%
WIN	GAIS - Elfsborg	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II	1.89	1.31%
WIN	Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes	2.10	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.88

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 3d 22h

Updated

Updated 3h 13m ago