Hearts – Rayo Vallecano

Model: TIPPSH

Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.92
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 17, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 11h 3m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hearts. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hearts

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds11.70First seen
Current2.92Now
Max odds11.70Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HeartsHOME
VS
Rayo VallecanoAWAY
LLWDW
Recent form
LWWDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
4.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.80
Home splitW-W-W2.67 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.92. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.04% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.92
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 59.4% 7D: 2.6% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 19.8%
Model insight

Hearts – Rayo Vallecano Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.04% across 113 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample22
Win Rate40.9%
Profit+3.56u
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Pick
1 @ 2.92
Kickoff
Lug 17, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.04% • n=113
Start
Starts in 11h 3m
Updated
Updated 13m ago
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