Model: TIPPSH

Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 26, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 9h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vasco da Gama. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vasco da GamaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.061 | A: 0.014

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vasco da GamaHOME

MirassolAWAY

LLWLL

Recent form

WLLWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

5.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

2.80

Home splitL-W-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.11

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Vasco da Gama has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 46.5% 7D: 27.7% 15D: 16.0% 30D: 22.3%

Model insight

Vasco da Gama – Mirassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample343

Win Rate47.2%

Profit-7.56u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh	2.17	1.04%
WIN	Keflavik - IA Akranes	2.36	1.59%
WIN	Buzios - Barra Mansa	2.35	1.59%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
WIN	South East United FC - Launceston United	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Pauli - HNK Gorica	2.01	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Lug 26, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Starts in 3d 9h

Updated

Updated 1d 16h ago