Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Houston Dynamo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Houston DynamoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.013 | A: -0.036Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Houston Dynamo as the more reliable side. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Houston Dynamo's attacking profile.
Houston Dynamo – Austin FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | San Diego Wave (W) - Reign FC (W) | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | CA San Miguel - Acassuso | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Tobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau | 1.71 | -4.66% |
| WIN | PPJ U21 - Atlantis U21 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Moss - Raufoss | 1.68 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Sarpsborg - Ham-Kam | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Palmerston Rovers FC - Garuda FC | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri | 1 | 1.75 | -7.35% | 27 Jul 21:15 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 31 Jul 17:30 |
| LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 31 Jul 18:00 |