Tobol Kostanay vs FK Atyrau
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tobol Kostanay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Tobol KostanayGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: -0.011Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Tobol Kostanay showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Tobol Kostanay has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Tobol Kostanay – FK Atyrau Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | PPJ U21 - Atlantis U21 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Moss - Raufoss | 1.68 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Sarpsborg - Ham-Kam | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Palmerston Rovers FC - Garuda FC | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo - Austin FC | 1.74 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | Isloch - FC Baranovichi | 1.74 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Sporting - Monaco | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |