Houston Dynamo – Austin FC

Model: TIPPSH

Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarted 25m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Houston Dynamo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Houston DynamoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.013 | A: -0.036

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

5/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current1.74Now
Max odds1.78Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Houston DynamoHOME
VS
Austin FCAWAY
DWDDW
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.60
Shots on target for
5.40
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
6.80
Home splitD-W-W-W-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-D1.20 scored / 3.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.74
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Houston Dynamo, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Houston Dynamo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -11.8% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 12.0% 30D: 20.7%
Model insight

Houston Dynamo – Austin FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample241
Win Rate57.7%
Profit-7.47u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSIsloch - FC Baranovichi1.74-7.35%
LOSSZawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew1.69-9.21%
WINSporting - Monaco1.65-9.21%
LOSSLaval - Concarneau1.75-9.21%
WINAlianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas1.68-7.35%
WINFC Fredericia - HB Køge1.62-9.21%
WINHonefoss - Skeid1.71-9.21%
WINTikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi1.73-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.74
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 25m ago
Updated
Updated 2h 27m ago
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