Club Guarani Reserves – Sportivo Luqueno Reserves

Model: TIPPSH

Club Guarani Reserves vs Sportivo Luqueno Reserves

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.72
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 27, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Guarani Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club Guarani ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.45First seen
Current1.69Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club Guarani ReservesHOME
VS
Sportivo Luqueno ReservesAWAY
DWWWD
Recent form
DLLWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.80
Shots on target for
6.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
7.00
Home splitD-D-W-W-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-L1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Reserve League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.72
V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160
V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Club Guarani Reserves showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Club Guarani Reserves has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -9.5% 7D: -1.6% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 16.6%
Model insight

Club Guarani Reserves – Sportivo Luqueno Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample255
Win Rate56.9%
Profit-11.39u
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Pick
1 @ 1.72
Kickoff
Lug 27, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-10.11% • n=160
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
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