Crusaders vs Newington FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Crusaders. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CrusadersGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Crusaders, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Crusaders – Newington FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Club Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri | 1.75 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | San Diego Wave (W) - Reign FC (W) | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | CA San Miguel - Acassuso | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Tobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau | 1.71 | -4.66% |
| WIN | PPJ U21 - Atlantis U21 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Moss - Raufoss | 1.68 | -4.66% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum Zarafshon | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 28 Jul 17:00 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 31 Jul 17:30 |
| LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 31 Jul 18:00 |
| Slovan Liberec - FK Teplice | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 17:00 |