Model: TIPPSH
Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves vs Villa Dalmine Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 29, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 1d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Arsenal de Sarandi ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.72First seen
Current1.70Now
Max odds1.72Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Arsenal de Sarandi ReservesHOME
VS
Villa Dalmine ReservesAWAY
WDLWW
Recent form
LWLLD
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.20
Shots on target for
3.60
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-D0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.79
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -9.6%
7D: -7.8%
15D: 10.5%
30D: 13.1%
Model insight
Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves – Villa Dalmine Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample318
Win Rate46.5%
Profit-39.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Andorra - CE Europa | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Malaga - Al Ittihad Jeddah | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Nacional Asuncion Reserves - Olimpia Asuncion Reserves | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sabah FC U20 - Negeri Sembilan U20 | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20 | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | JPS - FCJ Blackbird | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Nueva Chicago Reserves - CA Colegiales Reserves | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | AEK Athens - Samsunspor | 1.99 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 00:30 |
| Herediano - CD Marathon | 1 | 1.76 | 1.31% | 31 Jul 03:00 |
| Dnepr Mogilev - Naftan Novopolotsk | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 17:00 |
| CD Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 22:00 |
| Golden Arrows - Chippa United | 1 | 2.03 | 1.31% | 01 Aug 15:30 |
| San Martin SJ - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 01 Aug 20:30 |
| FC Sion - Lucerne | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 02 Aug 16:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Lug 29, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 1d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago