Model: TIPPSH
Herediano vs CD Marathon
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.76
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 31, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 17h 32m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 29m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Herediano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: HeredianoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.112 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current1.76Now
Max odds1.76Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
HeredianoHOME
VS
CD MarathonAWAY
DWWWL
Recent form
DDDWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.80
Shots on target for
3.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
5.40
Home splitD-W-D-D-W0.80 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-L-W0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Central American Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.76
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.0%
7D: -16.3%
15D: 8.0%
30D: 9.3%
Model insight
Herediano – CD Marathon Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample293
Win Rate46.1%
Profit-40.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | JPS - FCJ Blackbird | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Nueva Chicago Reserves - CA Colegiales Reserves | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | AEK Athens - Samsunspor | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Stromsgodset U19 - Tromso U19 | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Macclesfield | 1.86 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Fortaleza - Botafogo SP | 1.84 | 1.31% |
| WIN | UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC | 1.85 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Sabah FC U20 - Negeri Sembilan U20 | 1 | 1.81 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 10:15 |
| Nacional Asuncion Reserves - Olimpia Asuncion Reserves | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 13:30 |
| FC Ilves - Stjarnan | 1 | 1.79 | 1.31% | 30 Jul 18:00 |
| Malaga - Al Ittihad Jeddah | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 19:00 |
| Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20 | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 23:30 |
| Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 00:30 |
| Dnepr Mogilev - Naftan Novopolotsk | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.76
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 17h 32m
Updated
Updated 29m ago