Model: TIPPSH

Vila Nova GO (W) vs Ceara (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.93

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 2d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vila Nova GO (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vila Nova GO (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.078 | A: 0.081

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current1.93Now

Max odds2.46Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vila Nova GO (W)HOME

Ceara (W)AWAY

WLWLL

Recent form

LLWLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.80

Shots on target for

3.20

1.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

6.40

Home splitW-W-L-D-L1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L-L0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A2 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.93

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Vila Nova GO (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 29.2% 7D: 4.8% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Vila Nova GO (W) – Ceara (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample471

Win Rate47.8%

Profit-33.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2	1.92	1.31%
WIN	Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	1.99	1.04%
WIN	St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC	1.83	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W)	2.16	1.31%
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	South Melbourne U23 - St Albans Saints U23	1.76	1.31%
WIN	Rapid Vienna - SCR Altach	1.78	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United	1	2.17	1.04%	27 Jul 01:00
Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapo	1	1.76	1.31%	04 Aug 02:00
Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov	1	2.08	1.04%	04 Aug 17:30
Llaneros - Fortaleza CEIF	1	2.11	1.31%	04 Aug 23:10
FC Cincinnati - Pachuca	1	2.07	1.04%	05 Aug 01:45
Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy	1	1.94	1.04%	06 Aug 01:00

Pick

1 @ 1.93

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 2d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 4h ago