Aris Limassol vs Al Sadd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aris Limassol. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Aris LimassolGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.132 | A: 0.235Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aris Limassol's attacking profile.
Aris Limassol – Al Sadd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fluminense - Vasco da Gama | 2.21 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Nublense - Rangers de Talca | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FC Cincinnati - Pachuca | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sacramento Republic - Tulsa | 2.54 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 2.16 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Orsomarso - Tigres FC | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 01:00 |
| SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 19:30 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:00 |
| Wycombe - Stevenage | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 07 Aug 20:45 |