Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads United
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ferrymead Bays. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Ferrymead BaysGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.016 | A: 0.064Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Southern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Ferrymead Bays – Nomads United Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | VG-62 - MaPS | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Gold Coast United (W) - Capalaba (W) | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19 | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Freiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W) | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Motagua - CD FAS | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Monaco - Getafe | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 19:30 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:00 |
| Wisla Krakow - Wisla Plock | 1 | 1.84 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 20:30 |
| Bourg-Peronnas - Villefranche | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:45 |
| SC Bastia - Le Puy | 1 | 1.87 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:45 |