Oaxaca – Tepatitlan FC

Model: TIPPSH

Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.82
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 21h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Oaxaca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: OaxacaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.032 | A: -0.153

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.02First seen
Current2.82Now
Max odds3.02Highest point
Min odds2.82Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OaxacaHOME
VS
Tepatitlan FCAWAY
WLLWL
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.80
Shots on target for
5.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
5.00
Home splitL-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.82. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga de Expansion (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.82
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Oaxaca shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -1.8% 7D: 4.4% 15D: 8.9% 30D: 8.9%
Model insight

Oaxaca – Tepatitlan FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate42.9%
Profit+13.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMineros - Monagas II2.804.53%
LOSSClub Aurora - Bolivar2.702.49%
WINKarpaty Lviv - LNZ Lebedyn3.074.53%
WINBury Town - Halesowen2.954.53%
WINVanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama2.934.53%
LOSSOtrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac2.804.53%
WINFC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi2.904.53%
WINMaranhao - Brusque2.742.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.82
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 2d 21h
Updated
Updated 10m ago
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