Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Oaxaca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: OaxacaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.032 | A: -0.153Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.82. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga de Expansion (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Oaxaca shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Oaxaca – Tepatitlan FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Mineros - Monagas II | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Bolivar | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Lebedyn | 3.07 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Bury Town - Halesowen | 2.95 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama | 2.93 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi | 2.90 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Maranhao - Brusque | 2.74 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros - Deportes Tolima | 1 | 2.73 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 01:00 |
| Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 2.73 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 12:00 |
| Crusaders - Ballymena Utd | 1 | 2.96 | 4.53% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Sheff Utd - Birmingham | 1 | 2.62 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 18:30 |