Colon – Patronato Parana

Model: TIPPSH

Colon vs Patronato Parana

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.65
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 6h 20m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17h 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Colon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ColonGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.124 | A: 0.084

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.56First seen
Current1.65Now
Max odds1.66Highest point
Min odds1.56Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ColonHOME
VS
Patronato ParanaAWAY
WDLLW
Recent form
DDLDL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.60
Shots on target for
3.20
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
4.20
Home splitW-L-W-D-D1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-D-L0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.65
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -10.3% 7D: 9.6% 15D: 13.1% 30D: 10.0%
Model insight

Colon – Patronato Parana Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample348
Win Rate61.5%
Profit+11.31u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBradford - Peterborough1.65-7.35%
WINSalisbury Inter (W) - West Torrens Birkalla (W)1.63-9.89%
WINZweigen Kanazawa - Fukushima Utd1.65-9.21%
WINRuch Chorzow - Lechia Gdansk1.62-6.04%
WINKSZO Ostrowiec - Korona Kielce II1.64-7.35%
WINMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - Zabkovia Zabki1.70-9.21%
WINShaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai1.66-7.35%
WINSporting Gijon B - Cultural Leonesa B1.71-9.21%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC11.63-7.35%05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia11.70-9.21%07 Jun 18:00
Ilves (W) - IF Gnistan (W)11.67-7.35%15 Aug 14:00
Chelsea - Real Sociedad11.63-9.21%15 Aug 15:00
Macclesfield - Radcliffe FC11.63-9.21%15 Aug 16:00
Bury - Warrington Rylands11.70-7.35%15 Aug 16:00
Brighton - Bologna11.70-9.21%15 Aug 16:00
Sindri - FC Arbaer11.65-9.21%15 Aug 18:00
Pick
1 @ 1.65
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 6h 20m
Updated
Updated 17h 19m ago
Torna in alto