Model: TIPPSH

CS Afumati vs Chindia Targoviste

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 3

StartStarted 2d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CS Afumati. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CS AfumatiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.070

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.99First seen

Current2.85Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.85Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CS AfumatiHOME

Chindia TargovisteAWAY

LWLWL

Recent form

WWWLD

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

5.60

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

7.60

Home splitL-W-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-D-D1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga 2 (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.60

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor CS Afumati. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -30.4% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 5.9% 30D: 5.1%

Model insight

CS Afumati – Chindia Targoviste Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample162

Win Rate38.3%

Profit-7.48u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Athens Kallithea - Larissa	2.72	1.59%
WIN	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	2.53	1.59%
LOSS	Ulsan HD - Gangwon FC	2.52	1.59%
WIN	Juventude de Evora - Alcochetense	2.51	1.59%
WIN	Volsungur - IF Vestri	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Pacatuba - Esporte Limoeiro	2.44	1.59%
WIN	JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Gualaceo SC - Atletico FC Guayaquil	2.61	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Started 2d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 9h ago