Bury vs Warrington Rylands
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bury. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BuryGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.008 | A: 0.030Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bury's attacking profile.
Bury – Warrington Rylands Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bradford - Peterborough | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Macclesfield - Radcliffe FC | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Ilves (W) - IF Gnistan (W) | 1.67 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Brighton - Bologna | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Salisbury Inter (W) - West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 1.63 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Zweigen Kanazawa - Fukushima Utd | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Ruch Chorzow - Lechia Gdansk | 1.62 | -6.04% |
| WIN | KSZO Ostrowiec - Korona Kielce II | 1.64 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| JK Trans Narva II - Johvi FC Phoenix | 1 | 1.67 | -9.89% | 15 Aug 18:00 |
| Sindri - FC Arbaer | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 18:00 |
| Al Zawra'a - Al Minaa | 1 | 1.62 | -7.35% | 15 Aug 20:00 |
| Al Karma - Mosul FC | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 20:00 |
| Bursaspor - 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 1 | 1.68 | -4.66% | 15 Aug 20:30 |
| Mallorca - Valladolid | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 21:30 |