US Hostert vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is US Hostert. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: US HostertGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.076 | A: -0.238Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Luxembourg Division Nationale (lu). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. US Hostert has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
US Hostert – FC Etzella Ettelbruck Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Rio Verde - Goianesia | 2.02 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Raufoss - Asane | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - FC Tirsense | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W) | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Molde - Tromso | 2.11 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Los Angeles FC II - Tacoma Defiance | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Ingulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| WIN | SK Sturm Graz (W) - FC Salzburg (W) | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| FK Decic Tuzi - FK Bokelj | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 17 Aug 20:00 |
| Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 17 Aug 21:00 |
| Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir Reykjavik | 1 | 2.20 | 1.31% | 17 Aug 21:15 |