Guangdong Mingtu – Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Model: TIPPSH

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.58
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 2h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 53m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guangdong Mingtu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guangdong MingtuGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.071 | A: 0.091

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.58Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.21Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Guangdong MingtuHOME
VS
Wuhan Three Towns ReservesAWAY
DDWDD
Recent form
LWWDL
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.20
Shots on target for
3.40
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.80
3.60
Home splitD-W-D-L-D1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.58. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.58
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Guangdong Mingtu has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -22.7% 7D: -15.7% 15D: 1.7% 30D: 4.9%
Model insight

Guangdong Mingtu – Wuhan Three Towns Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.58. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample165
Win Rate37.6%
Profit-10.83u
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WINLautaro de Buin - Malleco Unido2.501.59%
LOSSZnicz Pruszków - Olimpia Grudziadz2.401.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.58
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 2h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 4h 53m ago
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