Model: TIPPSH

QPR vs Bolton

PREDICTION

@ 1.93

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 10h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is QPR. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: QPRGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.112 | A: 0.017

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.95First seen

Current1.93Now

Max odds1.95Highest point

Min odds1.93Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

QPRHOME

BoltonAWAY

WDWWW

Recent form

WLWDD

Avg goals scored

3.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.60

Shots on target for

7.00

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

3.00

Home splitD-W-W-L-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-W1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.93

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to QPR's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -0.4% 7D: -14.4% 15D: -1.4% 30D: 2.4%

Model insight

QPR – Bolton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample683

Win Rate51.5%

Profit+1.14u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CD Lara - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	1.95	1.31%
WIN	24 de Setiembre - Silvio Pettirossi	1.79	1.31%
WIN	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	1.82	1.31%
LOSS	Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Slovan Bratislava - NK Celje	1.80	1.04%
LOSS	Miedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2.15	1.04%
WIN	Flota Swinoujscie - Victoria Wrzesnia	1.79	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.93

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 2d 10h

Updated

Updated 13m ago