Model: TIPPSH

Nice vs Lorient

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nice. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NiceGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: 0.071

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.14First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds2.14Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NiceHOME

LorientAWAY

DDLWW

Recent form

LLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

3.60

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

5.00

Home splitW-W-D-D-D2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-W2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Nice is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -0.4% 7D: -14.4% 15D: -1.6% 30D: 2.4%

Model insight

Nice – Lorient Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample597

Win Rate47.4%

Profit-1.87u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	1.95	1.31%
LOSS	Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza	2.02	1.04%
WIN	FK Zhenys - Kaisar Kyzylorda	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Miedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2.15	1.04%
WIN	Lettir Reykjavik - BF 108	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	Scolar Resita - Petrolul Ploiesti	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	SC Farense U23 - Estoril U23	2.37	1.59%
WIN	Hapoel Rishon Lezion - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2.14	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 2d 22h

Updated

Updated 12m ago