CD Marathon vs Alianza FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is CD Marathon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CD MarathonGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.085 | A: -0.064Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Central American Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with CD Marathon showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. CD Marathon is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
CD Marathon – Alianza FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Real Oviedo B - Caudal | 1.72 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Club Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | UMF Selfoss - Kari | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Wigan - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Coquimbo Unido (W) - Huachipato (W) | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Dinamo Zagreb - Viking FK | 1.72 | -9.89% |
| LOSS | Mindil Aces - Darwin Olympic | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | FK Spartak Kostroma - FC Ufa | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Nairn County - Lossiemouth | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 19 Aug 21:00 |
| New York City FC II - FC Cincinnati II | 1 | 1.75 | -4.66% | 19 Aug 23:00 |
| One Knoxville SC - Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 | 1.66 | -7.35% | 20 Aug 01:00 |
| Houston Dash (W) - Chicago Stars (W) | 1 | 1.69 | -10.11% | 20 Aug 02:00 |
| KF Drita - Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 1.69 | -10.11% | 20 Aug 20:00 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 20 Aug 20:00 |