CD Marathon – Alianza FC

Model: TIPPSH

CD Marathon vs Alianza FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.68
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 20, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 6h 32m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Marathon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD MarathonGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.085 | A: -0.064

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.68Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD MarathonHOME
VS
Alianza FCAWAY
WWDWD
Recent form
DLLWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.80
Home splitW-D-W-W-L0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Central American Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.68
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with CD Marathon showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. CD Marathon is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 44.3% 7D: -5.6% 15D: -2.0% 30D: 2.8%
Model insight

CD Marathon – Alianza FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample381
Win Rate61.9%
Profit+15.11u
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WINCoquimbo Unido (W) - Huachipato (W)1.63-9.21%
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LOSSFK Spartak Kostroma - FC Ufa1.70-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.68
Kickoff
Ago 20, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 6h 32m
Updated
Updated 12h 29m ago
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