Afan Lido vs Pontardawe Town
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Afan Lido. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Afan LidoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.020 | A: -0.047Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Afan Lido showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Afan Lido – Pontardawe Town Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Dinamo Zagreb - NK Varazdin | 1.64 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Al Wahda Abu Dhabi U23 - Al Nasr SC U23 | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Al Najma - Al Jandal | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Antigua GFC - CSD Comunicaciones | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | AKS SMS Lodz - Orzel Parzeczew | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | South Coast Flame FC - Gladesville Ryde Magic | 1.73 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale | 1.68 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | Olympic Kingsway - Fremantle City FC | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Piratas - Cancun FC | 1 | 1.63 | -4.66% | 23 Aug 03:00 |
| Cruz Azul - Atlas | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 23 Aug 05:00 |
| CSA Steaua Bucuresti - CSC Dumbravita | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 23 Aug 10:00 |
| Xiamen Feilu - Wenzhou FC | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 23 Aug 13:30 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns - Golden Arrows | 1 | 1.64 | -4.66% | 23 Aug 15:00 |
| FK Podgorica - FK Kom Podgorica | 1 | 1.71 | -9.89% | 23 Aug 17:30 |