Model: TIPPSH

Suchitepequez vs Guastatoya

PREDICTION

@ 2.13

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 10, 2026 6:10 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 1h 39m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Suchitepequez. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SuchitepequezGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.050 | A: 0.042

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.13Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.13Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SuchitepequezHOME

GuastatoyaAWAY

DLWLL

Recent form

DWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.40

Shots on target for

4.20

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.40

Home splitD-W-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-L-W1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Guatemala Liga Nacional (gt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.13

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Suchitepequez is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 3.9% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 4.3% 30D: 5.3%

Model insight

Suchitepequez – Guastatoya Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample939

Win Rate46.5%

Profit-28.39u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	2.15	1.31%
WIN	Tre Penne - Juvenes/Dogana	1.97	1.31%
LOSS	FK Decic Tuzi - OFK Petrovac	2.35	1.59%
LOSS	Al Ittifaq Dammam - Al Faisaly Harmah	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Erbil SC - Diyala FC	1.88	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.13

Kickoff

Set 10, 2026 6:10 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 1h 39m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago